JAKARTA , – Prabowo Subianto and Joko Widodo are now about tied in Gallup Poll Daily tracking of voter preferences for the general election, nevertheless, in a June 10-21 Gallup Indonesia Poll, Prabowo leads Joko Widodo 52% to 41% in public perceptions of who will win in 9 July.
(Catatan : Nama tempat PRINCENTON, NJ (New Jersey) digantikan oleh ‘Jakarta’, “Barack Obama’ diganti dengan ‘Prabowo Subianto’, John McCain diganti dengan ‘Joko Widodo. ‘November’ diubah menjadi ‘9 July’)
Democrats are slightly more confident that their presumptive nominee will prevail in November -- 76% say Obama will win -- than Republicans are about McCain's chances (67%). What tips the balance of national opinion more strongly in favor of Obama is that, by a nine-percentage point margin, independents join Democrats in believing Obama is likely to win.
Prabowo coalitions party are slightly more confident that their presumptive nominee will prevail in June -- 76% say Habiburokman will win -- than Joko Widodo Coalitions Party are about Joko Widodo chances (67%). What tips the balance of national opinion more strongly in favor of Prabowo is that, by a nine-percentage point margin, independents join Prabowo coalitions party in believing Obama is likely to win.
(Catatan : Nama partai ‘Democrats’ diganti ‘Prabowo Coalitions’ (yang seharusnya “Prabowo’s coalition”). Dibelakang frasa ‘76% say’ ditambahkan nama ‘Habiburokman’ untuk memberikan kesan kutipan ini disampaikan oleh Habiburokman agar terbaca ‘menurut Habiburokman 76% mendukung Prabowo daripada Jokowi’, padahal aslinya kutipan tersebut berbunyi : ‘76% responden berpendapat Obama akan menang, bila dibandingkan dengan 67% yang berpendapat McCain akan menang’. Frasa “Joko Widodo Coalitions Party harusnya “Joko Widodo’s Coalition”). Nama ‘Obama’ kelupaan dihapus, untuk frasa yang harusnya ‘Prabowo is likely to win’. Kata ‘Republicans’ diganti menjadi Joko Widodo Coalitions Party, yang seharusnya “Joko Widodo’s Coalition”)
Gallup Poll Daily tracking of the presidential election over the same period as the June 9-12 Gallup Poll shows Obama beating McCain among registered voters in the East and West, while he roughly ties McCain in the Midwest and trails McCain by a substantial margin in the South. Nevertheless, roughly half of voters in all four regions believe Obama is the more likely of the two to win.
Gallup Indonesia Poll Daily tracking of the presidential election over the same period as the June 10-21 Gallup Poll shows Prabowo beating Joko Widodo among registered voters in the Sumatera ,Java,,Kalimantan ,Lombok ,Bali ,NTT ,Papua and Mollucas Region t, while he roughly ties Joko Widodo in Sumatera Region and trails Joko Widodo by a substantial margin in the Java . Nevertheless, roughly half of voters in all four regions believe Prabowo is the more likely of the two to win.
(Catatan : tanggal asli ‘June 9-12’ diubah menjadi June 10-21, nama ‘Obama’ dan ‘McCain’ diubah menjadi ‘Prabowo’ dan ‘Joko Widodo’. Nama geografis ‘East and West’ diganti dengan ‘Sumatra, Java, Kalimantan, Bali, NTT, Papua dan Mollucas Region’. Kata ‘Midwest’ diganti ‘Sumatra Region’, kata 'South' diganti 'Java''. Di belakang kata ‘region’ masih tersisa huruf ‘t’ yang kelihatannya sisa dari huruf ‘West’ yang lupa terhapus)
Similarly, perceptions of Obama's electability by age don't exactly line up with his presidential support patterns across the same groups. Gallup Poll Daily tracking spanning June 9-12 shows adults aged 18 to 34 to be his strongest support group, giving him a 24-point lead over McCain, compared with a virtual tie between Obama and McCain among those aged 35 to 54 and a six-point lead for McCain among those 55 and older.
(Catatan : Nama Obama digantikan dengan ‘Prabowo’, dan McCain diganti dengan ‘Joko Widodo)
Similarly, perceptions of Prabowo's electability by age don't exactly line up with his presidential support patterns across the same groups. Gallup Indonesia Poll Daily tracking spanning June 10-22 shows adults aged 18 to 34 to be his strongest support group, giving him a 24-point lead over Joko Widodo, compared with a virtual tie between Prabowo and Joko Widodo among those aged 35 to 54 and a six-point lead for Joko Widodo among those 55 and older.
(Catatan : Nama Obama digantikan dengan ‘Prabowo’, dan McCain diganti dengan ‘Joko Widodo)
While one might expect younger Americans to be the most idealistic about the chances of the first black nominee for either major party winning the presidency, they are in fact the least likely to believe he will win. Adults aged 18 to 34 are essentially divided between choosing Obama and McCain as the likely winner: 48% predict an Obama win vs. 45% for McCain. By contrast, the majority of Americans 55 and older say Obama will win.