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The 2024 Global Elections: Navigating Broken Promises and Economic Realities

12 Januari 2024   20:27 Diperbarui: 12 Januari 2024   20:38 266
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Woodrow Wilson Caricature of the 1916 elections (source: Potus-Geeks, 2012)

"If you have been voting for politicians who promise to give you goodies at someone else's expense, then you have no right to complain when they take your money and give it to someone else, including themselves"

Thomas Sowell

Every turn of the year is only for resolutions that we put together to achieve in the following year, whether it is fulfilled, remains an answer that is in doubt. Resolutions are as good as that, mere words. The same can be said for those words that are uttered by politicians trying to hold on to power or to cripple the status quo. One can feel cynical or even apathetic towards an election in one region, but 2024 is a year that keeps on giving, as a projected 2 billion people from 50 countries go to the polls to not only choose their countries' decision makers, but the world, as world leaders, US, UK, Russia, India, Indonesia, Brazil, and many more are in that lists. Suffice to say that this will be a year that is crucial not only for the next 4-6 years but for generations to come.

So what? Let's not forget those elections also impacted the economy as government decision-making is to be halted as money that should be used for public works is funneled to campaigns, this could indirectly impact not only one regional economy but again the global stage is to be affected. Recent projections by the Macro Economic Policy Center of the Fiscal Policy Agency in the Indonesian elections will impact the GDP of Indonesia is expected to rise as much as 1% in 2024. With estimates showing that these election numbers can blow up, how can we take this into account in terms of the economy?

Navigating Broken Promises: Cases in the United States 

The broken promises made by politicians in previous elections have had a significant impact on public trust and the electorate's perception of political integrity. Campaign promises are often used as a means to win elections, but they are not always fulfilled. Examples included President Woodrow Wilson's 1916 promise to keep the United States out of war was followed by a request for a declaration of war against Germany just 29 days into his second term.

Woodrow Wilson Caricature of the 1916 elections (source: Potus-Geeks, 2012)
Woodrow Wilson Caricature of the 1916 elections (source: Potus-Geeks, 2012)

Similarly, President George H.W. Bush's pledge of "Read my lips: no new taxes" was later compromised due to budget shortages. President Barack Obama's promise to "close the partisan divide in Washington" was not achieved, contributing to a larger partisan divide when he left office. President Donald Trump's promises to repeal Obamacare, build a wall along the border of Mexico, and have Mexico pay for it were not fully realized. These examples demonstrate the far-reaching consequences of unfulfilled promises on public perception and trust in the political process.

The reasons behind broken promises are multifaceted. Campaign promises, often made in the heat of the moment, may not fully align with the complex realities of governance. Unforeseen events, changing circumstances, and the need to compromise in the face of budget shortfalls or political polarization can all contribute to the inability to fulfill promises. Additionally, the inherent challenges of translating campaign rhetoric into actionable policies within the constraints of the political system can lead to unmet expectations. It is essential for voters to critically evaluate campaign pledges, and consider the dynamic nature of governance and the potential impact of external factors on promise fulfillment.

Between the Global Tensions Within Democracies

The current global economic situation is marked by a slowdown in growth, with estimates for 2023 growth at only 1.4%. This slowdown is influenced by factors such as the pandemic, supply chain disruptions, and the slowing of the Chinese economy. Long-term challenges like inequality, housing affordability, and unemployment are particularly relevant for younger voters, but they often take a backseat to geopolitical tensions, such as those between China and Taiwan.

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