While one might expect younger Americans to be the most idealistic about the chances of the first black nominee for either major party winning the presidency, they are in fact the least likely to believe he will win. Adults aged 18 to 34 are essentially divided between choosing Prabowo and Joko Widodo as the likely winner: 48% predict an Prabowo win vs. 45% for Joko Widodo By contrast, the majority of Indonesian 55 and older say Prabowo will win.
(Catatan : Nama Obama digantikan dengan ‘Prabowo’, dan McCain diganti dengan ‘Joko Widodo. Frasa ‘first black nominee’ yang artinya ‘kandidat pertama berkulit hitam’, lupa dihapus. Setahu saya Prabowo tidak berkulit hitam)
Gallup Poll Daily tracking shows women backing Obama over McCain, 50% to 38%, while men prefer McCain to Obama, 48% to 42%. Nevertheless, both genders are more likely to believe Obama rather than McCain will win the election.
Gallup Indonesia Poll Daily tracking shows women backing Prabowo over Joko Widodo , 50% to 38%, while men prefer Joko Widodo to OPrabowo , 48% to 42%. Nevertheless, both genders are more likely to believe Prabowo rather than Joko Widodo will win the election.
(Catatan : Nama Obama digantikan dengan ‘Prabowo’, dan McCain diganti dengan ‘Joko Widodo. Pada penyebutan ‘Prabowo’ yang kedua, terdapat huruf ‘O’ yang lupa dihapus sehingga jadi ‘OPrabowo’)
Bottom Line
They say perception becomes reality. At this early stage of the general election campaign, perceptions of who can win are working in Obama's favor, even among older generations of Americans and Southerners who are more likely to back McCain for the presidency.
Bottom Line
They say perception becomes reality. At this early stage of the general election campaign, perceptions of who can win are working in Prabowo,s favor, even among older generations of Indonesians who are more likely to back Joko Widodo for the presidency.
(Catatan : Nama Obama digantikan dengan ‘Prabowo’, dan McCain diganti dengan ‘Joko Widodo. “Prabowo,s favor” harusnya ‘”Prabowo’s favor”, pakai apostrof (koma atas), bukan koma bawah).
Survey Methods
Results are based on telephone interviews with 822 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted June 9-12, 2008. For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.