We see before our eyes how small transactions appear orderly. World social and economic life continues. These times really put us in a warm and very comfortable place.However, it is possible that behind the curtain of social and economic life, some events are taking place that are hidden from some people. Yes, when we are making a transaction to buy dinner, there are massive and progressive transactions out there.
These transactions are due to nothing other than the buying and selling of weapons and military investments. Maybe while we are enjoying delicious food, policies and exchanges of weapons are taking place somewhere in the world, shaping the course of global life that is difficult to predict.
Buying and selling in the military sector is not like buying and selling food, because it is closely related to the security and defense situation of a country. The increase in cash flows in military investments reflects increasing levels of wariness and uncertainty among countries.
I.Theory of Distrust and Uncertainty
The Theory of Distrust and Uncertainty suggests that a community may not trust another community due to past conflicts, uncertainty about each other’s intentions, or cultural differences.
Potential Dynamics
1)Feeling Threatened and Anxious
Imagine if group X felt worried about what Group Y and Z are doing now. This is because group X thinks that group Y and Z might be getting powerful or doing something threatening.
2)Arms Race Cycle
Even if group X didn't have a plan to get stronger aggressively. They might start preparing for defense or making themselves stronger to be ready as potential threats
3)Security Dilemma
When a community wants to do something to defend themselves, it can make other groups do something to do the same thing. This comes to a cycle of not trusting anyone and everyone trying to seek power. Finally, distrust becomes even stronger.
II.Implication of this Theory
1)Aggressive Defensive Actions
Initially, Group X just wanted to defend their group, but because of the lack of trust, they might end up doing actions that look aggressive to make their defense become stronger.
2)Reproduction of Uncertainty
Worries about safety and not trusting each other might create uncertainty and conflicts. This just makes a cycle keep going which no one fully trusts other groups.